Category Archives: Predictive Analytics

How To Turbocharge Oil & Gas Analyses With Machine Learning and The Right EIM Foundation

It is generally accepted that good analysis of oil and gas data results in actionable insights, which in turn leads to better profits and growth. With today’s advancements in technology and processing power, more data and better analysis are easily achievable but will require the right EIM (Enterprise Information Management)  foundation to make “all” data available and “analyses-ready”.

The evidence of those analytics are clear and ubiquitous. In an article in JPT (Journal of Petroleum Technology) by Stephen Rassenfoss, “Four Answers To the Question: What Can I Learn From Analytics?”, Devon Energy concludes it is possible to increase production by 25% by drilling the lateral toe-up in Cana-Woodford Shale. Range Resources, responding to a different question and with Machine Learning (ML) analysis, concluded more production in the Marcellus is associated with wells fracked with as much sand volume as the reservoir can handle.

All Data All The Time = More Studies More Return

Looking closer at the article, both studies were based on a relatively small data set; Devon Energy and Range Resources only used 300 and 156 wells respectively.  Both companies stated that a larger data set would help their respective studies. So, why some studies rely on a small population of wells when there are thousands more that could have been included to reach a deeper understanding.

While the answer depends on the study itself, we find two key data”preparation” problems that may contribute to the answer a) data findability/ availability b) data readiness for analyses. In some E&P companies, data preparation can consume over 50% of total study’s time. This is where I believe EIM can make a difference by taking a proactive role.

 Three Strategic EIM Initiatives to Turbocharge Your Organization’s Analytics

Information preparation for exploratory analytics like the above, require Oil and Gas companies to embrace a new paradigm in EIM. The traditional “data management” has its applications but can be rigid and limiting because it requires predefined schemas.

We share our favorite three EIM strategic initiatives to deliver  more, trustworthy and analyses-ready information:

  • Strategic and Selective Information Governance Program – A strong data governance model ensures data can be trusted, correlated and integrated, this is a foundational step and will take standardizing, and mastering key entities and attributes.   Tip: key enabling technology is Master Data Management (MDM)
  •  Multi-Stream Data Correlation – Together with the MDM, “Big Data” technology and processes enable the inclusion and further correlation of data from a variety of streams, without the prejudice of predefined data schema.
  • Collaborative Process and Partnership – From years of lessons learned, we’ve noticed that none of the above will move the needle much at all if implemented in isolation. A collaborative process with the sole purpose of fostering a close partnership between IM engineers/ architects, data scientists, and the business, is what differentiates success from failure. As the organization finds new “nuggets of insights,” the EIM team’s role is to put the necessary structure in place to capture the required data systematically and then infiltrate it into the organization’s DNA.

New analytics are positively changing how we produce and manage oil and gas fields. Companies that invest in getting their EIM foundation right will lead the race among its competition.

Disclosure:

For help on defining and implementing EIM strategy please contact us.
With Petroleum Engineers, Geoscientist, Data Scientists and Enterprise Information Architects on the Certis team, we help companies design and implement EIM solutions that support their business goals. for more information on our services please email us at info@certisinc.com.

Bring It On Sooner & Keep It Lifting Longer. Solutions To Consider For ESPs (Or Any Field Equipment)

Settled on average 6,000 feet below the surface, electrical submersible pumps (a.k.a ESPs) provide artificial lift for liquid hydrocarbons for more than 130,000 wells worldwide.
Installing the correct ESP system for the well, installing it precisely, and careful monitoring of the system is paramount to reducing the risk of a premature end to an ESP life cycle. But the increasingly long laterals of horizontal wells, along with rapid drilling in remote areas, is creating challenges for efficient operations and the ESP’s life span. Implementing the correct processes and data strategies will, undoubtedly, be the cheapest and fastest way to overcome some of the challenges.

1- Implement A Process Flow That Works, Break The Barriers

When a decision is made to install an ESP in a well, a series of actions are triggered: preparing specifications, arranging for power, ordering equipment, scheduling operations, testing, and finally installing it in a well, to state a few. These actions and decisions involve individuals from multiple departments within an organization as well as external vendors and contractors. These series of actions form a process flow that is sometimes inefficient and is drawn out, causing delays in producing revenue. In addition, sometimes processes fall short causing premature pump failures that interrupt production and raise operational costs.
Research of many industry processes shows communication challenges are one of the root causes for delays, according to LMA Consulting Group Inc. Furthermore, communication challenges increase exponentially when actions change hands and departments. A good workflow will cut across departmental barriers to focus on the ultimate goal of making sure Engineering, Procurement, Logistics, accounting, vendors, contractors and field operations all are on the same page and have a simple and direct means to communicate effectively. But more importantly, the workflow will allow for the team to share the same level of urgency and keep stakeholders well informed with the correct information about their projects. If you are still relying on phones, papers and emails to communicate, look for workflow technology that will bring all parties on one page.

A well-thought through workflow coupled with fit-for-purpose technology and data is critical, not only to ensure consistent successful results each time but also to minimize delays in revenue.

2- ESP Rented Or Purchased, It Does Not Matter… QA/QC Should Be Part Of Your Process

Although ESPs are rented and the vendor will switch out non-performing ones, ensuring that the right ESP is being installed for a well should be an important step of the operator’s process and procedures. Skipping this step means operators will incur the cost of shut downs and tempering of reservoir conditions that may otherwise be stabilized – not to mention exposure to risks each time a well is penetrated.
More importantly a thoughtful workflow ensures a safe and optimal life span for ESPs regardless of the engineers or vendors involved, especially in this age of a mass retiring of knowledge.

At today’s oil prices, interrupted production for a well of 1,000 barrels per day will cost an operator at least $250,000 of delayed revenue for a 5 day operation. Predictive and prescriptive analytics in addition to efficient processes can keep the interruption to the minimum if not delay it altogether.

3- Know Why And How It Failed Then Improve Your Processes – You Need The Data And The Knowledge

One last point in this blog: Because ESPs consist of several components, a motor, a pump, a cable, elastomer, etc… ESP failure can, therefore, be electrical, mechanical, thermal or fluid/gas composition. Capturing and understanding the reasons for a failure in a system to allow for effective data analysis provides insight that can be carried forward to future wells and to monitoring systems. Integrating this knowledge into systems such as predictive analysis or even prescriptive analytic to guide new engineers will have an effect on operator’s bottom-line. A few vendors in the market offer these kind of technology, weaving the right technology, data and processes to work in synergy is where the future is.

On how to implement these solutions please contact our team at info@certisinc.com.

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